LTH PVR BTC DCA Strategy

Smart Bitcoin Accumulation Using On-Chain Intelligence

Rule-based strategy that capitalizes on BTC market cycles by monitoring Long-Term Holder behavior and profit to volatility ratios. Automated, transparent, and fully auditable.

Try the Interactive Back-Tester →

How LTH PVR Works

Four-step process that removes emotion from Bitcoin investing

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On-Chain Intelligence

We monitor Long-Term Holder Profit to Volatility Ratio (LTH PVR) — a metric showing when long-term BTC holders are historically overextended (sell signal) or risk-averse (buy signal).

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Confidence Interval Bands

LTH PVR data is analyzed using statistical confidence intervals divided into 11 bands. Each band has its own position size weighting. When BTC trades above the median band (euphoria), we reduce exposure with incrementally larger trigger sells. When below median band (fear), we accumulate more aggressively with larger position sizes.

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Automated Daily Decisions

Every trading day at 03:00 UTC, our system fetches the latest LTH PVR data from our BTC blockchain node, compares current BTC price to bands, generates buy/sell/hold decision, calculates optimal position size, and places orders on VALR exchange.

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Transparent Execution

All trades executed on VALR (South African exchange). Your customer portal shows daily decisions and reasoning, order execution details, portfolio balances (BTC + USDT), performance vs benchmarks, and fee calculations.

Historical Performance (2020-2025)

See how LTH PVR outperformed Standard DCA over 6 years

📊 Back-Test Parameters

  • • Start Date: 2020-01-01
  • • End Date: 2025-12-31
  • • Upfront Investment: $10,000
  • • Monthly Contribution: $1,000
  • • Exchange: VALR (BTC/USDT)
  • • Performance Fee: 10% (high-water mark)
  • • Platform Fee: 0.75% on contributions

ROI % Comparison: LTH PVR vs Standard DCA

Portfolio Value (NAV) Comparison: LTH PVR vs Standard DCA

⚠️ Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments carry risk.

Transparent Pricing

Align our success with yours

10% Performance Fee

With High-Water Mark Protection
  • Charged only on new profits above previous peak NAV
  • If portfolio drops and recovers, no fee on recovery
  • Calculated and charged monthly
  • You never pay twice for reaching the same value

0.75% Platform Fee

On Contributions Only
  • Charged when funds deposited to your portfolio
  • One-time fee per contribution
  • Covers infrastructure, data feeds, regulatory compliance, support
  • Example: Deposit $1,000 → $7.50 platform fee

No Hidden Fees

What You Won’t Pay
  • No monthly management fees
  • No withdrawal fees (beyond exchange costs)
  • No inactivity fees
  • Full fee transparency in customer portal
  • Detailed monthly statements and invoices

💡 What is a High-Water Mark?

A high-water mark protects you from paying performance fees twice on the same profits. We only charge fees on new profits that exceed your portfolio's previous highest value.

This means:

  • If your portfolio grows, we share in the success
  • If it drops and recovers, we don't charge on recovery
  • You never pay twice for reaching the same value
Example Timeline:
Jan: NAV $100k (peak) → Fee charged on profits
Mar: NAV drops to $80k → No fee (below peak)
Jun: NAV recovers to $100k → No fee (same as peak)
Sep: NAV grows to $120k → Fee charged on $20k NEW profit only

Ready to See How LTH PVR Would Perform for You?

Try our interactive back-tester with your own investment parameters. See exactly how LTH PVR would have performed during your chosen time period vs Standard DCA.

Launch Interactive Back-Tester →

Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. All investments carry risk.